Saturday, October 27, 2018

Why Spinoza still matters

Why Spinoza still matters

(Repeated from 2016)

At a time of religious zealotry, Spinoza’s fearless defence of intellectual freedom is more timely than ever
junio 7, 2016

Samuel Hirszenberg, Spinoza (1907) . Courtesy A. A. Deineka Picture
Gallery, Kursk, Russia.

In July 1656, the 23-year-old Bento de Spinoza was excommunicated from the Portuguese-Jewish congregation of Amsterdam. It was the harshest punishment of herem (ban) ever issued by that community. The extant document, a lengthy and vitriolic diatribe, refers to the young man’s ‘abominable heresies’ and ‘monstrous deeds’. The leaders of the community, having consulted with the rabbis and using Spinoza’s Hebrew name, proclaim that they hereby ‘expel, excommunicate, curse, and damn Baruch de Spinoza’. He is to be ‘cast out from all the tribes of Israel’ and his name is to be ‘blotted out from under heaven’.

Over the centuries, there have been periodic calls for the herem against Spinoza to be lifted. Even David Ben-Gurion, when he was prime minister of Israel, issued a public plea for ‘amending the injustice’ done to Spinoza by the Amsterdam Portuguese community. It was not until early 2012, however, that the Amsterdam congregation, at the insistence of one of its members, formally took up the question of whether it was time to rehabilitate Spinoza and welcome him back into the congregation that had expelled him with such prejudice. There was, though, one thing that they needed to know: should we still regard Spinoza as a heretic?

Unfortunately, the herem document fails to mention specifically what Spinoza’s offences were – at the time he had not yet written anything – and so there is a mystery surrounding this seminal event in the future philosopher’s life. And yet, for anyone who is familiar with Spinoza’s mature philosophical ideas, which he began putting in writing a few years after the excommunication, there really is no such mystery. By the standards of early modern rabbinic Judaism – and especially among the Sephardic Jews of Amsterdam, many of whom were descendants of converso refugees from the Iberian Inquisitions and who were still struggling to build a proper Jewish community on the banks of the Amstel River – Spinoza was a heretic, and a dangerous one at that.

What is remarkable is how popular this heretic remains nearly three and a half centuries after his death, and not just among scholars. Spinoza’s contemporaries, René Descartes and Gottfried Leibniz, made enormously important and influential contributions to the rise of modern philosophy and science, but you won’t find many committed Cartesians or Leibnizians around today. The Spinozists, however, walk among us. They are non-academic devotees who form Spinoza societies and study groups, who gather to read him in public libraries and in synagogues and Jewish community centres. Hundreds of people, of various political and religious persuasions, will turn out for a day of lectures on Spinoza, whether or not they have ever read him. There have been novels, poems, sculptures, paintings, even plays and operas devoted to Spinoza. This is all a very good thing.

It is also a very curious thing. Why should a 17th-century Portuguese-Jewish philosopher whose dense and opaque writings are notoriously difficult to understand incite such passionate devotion, even obsession, among a lay audience in the 21st century? Part of the answer is the drama and mystery at the centre of his life: why exactly was Spinoza so harshly punished by the community that raised and nurtured him? Just as significant, I suspect, is that everyone loves an iconoclast – especially a radical and fearless one that suffered persecution in his lifetime for ideas and values that are still so important to us today. Spinoza is a model of intellectual courage. Like a prophet, he took on the powers-that-be with an unflinching honesty that revealed ugly truths about his fellow citizens and their society.

Much of Spinoza’s philosophy was composed in response to the precarious political situation of the Dutch Republic in the mid-17th century. In the late 1660s, the period of ‘True Freedom’ – with the liberal and laissez-faire regents dominating city and provincial governments – was under threat by the conservative ‘Orangist’ faction (so-called because its partisans favoured a return of centralised power to the Prince of Orange) and its ecclesiastic allies. Spinoza was afraid that the principles of toleration and secularity enshrined in the founding compact of the United Provinces of the Netherlands were being eroded in the name of religious conformity and political and social orthodoxy. In 1668, his friend and fellow radical Adriaan Koerbagh was convicted of blasphemy and subversion. He died in his cell the next year. In response, Spinoza composed his ‘scandalous’Theological-Political Treatise, published to great alarm in 1670.

Spinoza’s views on God, religion and society have lost none of their relevance. At a time when Americans seem willing to bargain away their freedoms for security, when politicians talk of banning people of a certain faith from our shores, and when religious zealotry exercises greater influence on matters of law and public policy, Spinoza’s philosophy – especially his defence of democracy, liberty, secularity and toleration – has never been more timely. In his distress over the deteriorating political situation in the Dutch Republic, and despite the personal danger he faced, Spinoza did not hesitate to boldly defend the radical Enlightenment values that he, along with many of his compatriots, held dear. In Spinoza we can find inspiration for resistance to oppressive authority and a role model for intellectual opposition to those who, through the encouragement of irrational beliefs and the maintenance of ignorance, try to get citizens to act contrary to their own best interests.

Spinoza’s philosophy is founded upon a rejection of the God that informs the Abrahamic religions. His God lacks all the psychological and moral characteristics of a transcendent, providential deity. The Deus of Spinoza’s philosophical masterpiece, the Ethics (1677), is not a kind of person. It has no beliefs, hopes, desires or emotions. Nor is Spinoza’s God a good, wise and just lawgiver who will reward those who obey its commands and punish those who go astray. For Spinoza, God is Nature, and all there is is Nature (his phrase is Deus sive Natura, ‘God or Nature’). Whatever is exists in Nature, and happens with a necessity imposed by the laws of Nature. There is nothing beyond Nature and there are no departures from Nature’s order – miracles and the supernatural are an impossibility.

There are no values in Nature. Nothing is intrinsically good or bad, nor does Nature or anything in Nature exist for the sake of some purpose. Whatever is, just is. Early in the Ethics, Spinoza says that ‘all the prejudices I here undertake to expose depend on this one: that men commonly suppose that all natural things act, as men do, on account of an end; indeed, they maintain as certain that God himself directs all things to some certain end; for they say that God has made all things for man, and man that he might worship God’.

Spinoza is often labelled a ‘pantheist’, but ‘atheist’ is a more appropriate term. Spinoza does not divinise Nature. Nature is not the object of worshipful awe or religious reverence. ‘The wise man,’ he says, ‘seeks to understand Nature, not gape at it like a fool’. The only appropriate attitude to take toward God or Nature is a desire to know it through the intellect.

The elimination of a providential God helps to cast doubt on what Spinoza regards as one of the most pernicious doctrines promoted by organised religions: the immortality of the soul and the divine judgment it will undergo in some world-to-come. If a person believes that God will reward the virtuous and punish the vicious, one’s life will be governed by the emotions of hope and fear: hope that one is among the elect, fear that one is destined for eternal damnation. A life dominated by such irrational passions is, in Spinoza’s terms, a life of ‘bondage’ rather than a life of rational freedom.

People who are led by passion rather than reason are easily manipulated by ecclesiastics. This is what so worried Spinoza in the late 1660s, as the more repressive and intolerant elements in the Reformed Church gained influence in Holland. It remains no less a threat to enlightened, secular democracy today, as religious sectarians exercise a dangerous influence on public life.

In order to undermine such religious meddling in civic affairs and personal morality, Spinoza attacked the belief in the afterlife of an immortal soul. For Spinoza, when you’re dead, you’re dead. There might be a part of the human mind that is ‘eternal’. The truths of metaphysics, mathematics, etc, that one acquires during this lifetime and that might now belong to one’s mind will certainly remain once one has passed away – they are, after all, eternal truths – but there is nothing personal about them. The rewards or benefits such knowledge brings are for this world, not some alleged world-to-come.

The more one knows about Nature, and especially about oneself as a human being, the more one is able to avoid the slings and arrows of outrageous fortune, to navigate the obstacles to happiness and wellbeing that a person living in Nature necessarily faces. The result of such wisdom is peace of mind: one is less subject to the emotional extremes that ordinarily accompany the gains and losses that life inevitably brings, and one no longer dwells anxiously on what is to come after death. As Spinoza eloquently puts it, ‘the free man thinks of death least of all things, and his wisdom is a meditation on life, not on death’.

Clergy seeking to control the lives of citizens have another weapon in their arsenal. They proclaim that there is one and only one book that will reveal the word of God and the path toward salvation and that they alone are its authorised interpreters. In fact, Spinoza claims, ‘they ascribe to the Holy Spirit whatever their wild fancies have invented’.

One of Spinoza’s more famous, influential and incendiary doctrines concerns the origin and status of Scripture. The Bible, Spinoza argues in the Theological-Political Treatise, was not literally authored by God. God or Nature is metaphysically incapable of proclaiming or dictating, much less writing, anything. Scripture is not ‘a message for mankind sent down by God from heaven’. Rather, it is a very mundane document. Texts from a number of authors of various socio-economic backgrounds, writing at different points over a long stretch of time and in differing historical and political circumstances, were passed down through generations in copies after copies after copies.

Finally, a selection of these writings was put together (with some arbitrariness, Spinoza insists) in the Second Temple period, most likely under the editorship of Ezra, who was only partially able to synthesise his sources and create a single work from them. This imperfectly composed collection was itself subject to the changes that creep into a text during a transmission process of many centuries. The Bible as we have it is simply a work of human literature, and a rather ‘faulty, mutilated, adulterated, and inconsistent’ one at that. It is a mixed-breed by its birth and corrupted by its descent and preservation, a jumble of texts by different hands, from different periods and for different audiences.

Spinoza supplements his theory of the human origins of Scripture with an equally deflationary account of its authors. The prophets were not especially learned individuals. They did not enjoy a high level of education or intellectual sophistication. They certainly were not philosophers or physicists or astronomers. There are no truths about nature or the cosmos to be found in their writings (Joshua believed that the Sun revolved around the Earth). Neither are they a source of metaphysical or even theological truths. The prophets often had naïve, even philosophically false beliefs about God.

They were, however, morally superior individuals with vivid imaginations, and so there is a truth to be gleaned from all of Scripture, one that comes through loud and clear and in a non-mutilated form. The ultimate teaching of Scripture, whether the Hebrew Bible or the Christian Gospels, is in fact a rather simple one: practice justice and loving-kindness to your fellow human beings.

That basic moral message is the upshot of all the commandments and the lesson of all the stories of Scripture, surviving whole and unadulterated through all the differences of language and all the copies, alterations, corruptions and scribal errors that have crept into the text over the centuries. It is, Spinoza insists, there in the Hebrew prophets (‘Do not seek revenge or bear a grudge against one of your people, but love your neighbour as yourself’ [Leviticus 19:18]) and it is in Paul’s letters (‘He who loves his neighbour has satisfied every claim of the law’ [Romans 13:8]). Spinoza writes: ‘I can say with certainty, that in the matter of moral doctrine I have never observed a fault or variant reading that could give rise to obscurity or doubt in such teaching.’ The moral doctrine is the clear and universal message of the Bible, at least for those who are not prevented from reading it properly by prejudice, superstition or a thirst for power.

Does Spinoza believe that there is any sense in which the Bible can be said to be ‘divine’? Certainly not in the sense central to fundamentalist, or even traditional, versions of the Abrahamic religions. For Spinoza, the divinity of Scripture – in fact, the divinity ofany writing – is a purely functional property. A work of literature or art is ‘sacred’ or ‘divine’ only because it is effective at presenting the ‘word of God’.

What is the ‘word of God’, the ‘universal divine law’? It is precisely the message that remains ‘unmutilated’ and ‘uncorrupted’ throughout the Biblical texts: love your neighbours and treat them with justice and charity. But Scripture, perhaps more than any other work of literature, excels at motivating people to follow that lesson and emulate its (fictional) portrayal of God’s justice and mercy in their lives. Spinoza notes that ‘a thing is called sacred and divine when its purpose is to foster piety and religion, and it is sacred only for as long as men use it in a religious way’. In other words, the divinity of Scripture lies in the fact that it is, above all else, an especially morally edifying work of literature.

And yet, for just this reason, Scripture will not be the only work of literature that is ‘divine’. If reading William Shakespeare’s The Tempestor Mark Twain’s Adventures of Huckleberry Finn moves one toward justice and mercy, or if reading Charles Dickens’s Hard Times inspires one toward love and charity, then these works too are divine and sacred. The word of God, Spinoza says, is ‘not confined within the compass of a set number of books’.

In a letter to Spinoza, the Cartesian Lambert van Velthuysen objects that, according to the Theological-Political Treatise, ‘the Koran, too, is to be put on a level with the Word of God’, since ‘the Turks… in obedience to the command of their prophet, cultivate those moral virtues about which there is no disagreement among nations’. Spinoza acknowledges the implication, but does not see it as an objection. He is perfectly willing to allow that there are other true prophets besides those of Scripture and other sacred books outside the Jewish and Christian canons.

The Bible’s moral message and its prescriptions for how we are to treat other human beings represents the authentic ‘word of God’. Spinoza insists, then, that true piety or religion has nothing whatsoever to do with ceremonies or rituals. Dietary restrictions, liturgical and sacrificial practices, prayers – all such elements typical of organised religions are but superstitious behaviours that, whatever might have been their historico-political origins, are now devoid of any raison d’être. They continue to be promoted by clergy only to create docile and obedient worshippers.

What Spinoza regards as ‘true religion’ and ‘true piety’ requires no belief in any historical events, supernatural incidents or metaphysical doctrines, and it prescribes no devotional rites. It does not demand accepting any particular theology of God’s nature or philosophical claims about the cosmos and its origins. The divine law directs us only on how to behave with justice and charity toward other human beings. ‘[We are] to uphold justice, help the helpless, do no murder, covet no man’s goods, and so on’. All the other rituals or ceremonies of the Bible’s commandments are empty practices that ‘do not contribute to blessedness and virtue’.

True religion is nothing more than moral behaviour. It is not what you believe, but what you do that matters. Writing to the Englishman and secretary to the Royal Society Henry Oldenburg in 1675, Spinoza says that ‘the chief distinction I make between religion and superstition is that the latter is founded on ignorance, the former on wisdom’.

The political ideal that Spinoza promotes in the Theological-Political Treatise is a secular, democratic commonwealth, one that is free from meddling by ecclesiastics. Spinoza is one of history’s most eloquent advocates for freedom and toleration. The ultimate goal of the Treatise is enshrined in both the book’s subtitle and in the argument of its final chapter: to show that ‘freedom to philosophise may not only be allowed without danger to piety and the stability of the republic, but that it cannot be refused without destroying the peace of the republic and piety itself’.

All opinions whatsoever, including religious opinions, are to be absolutely free and unimpeded, both by necessity and by right. ‘It is impossible for the mind to be completely under another’s control; for no one is able to transfer to another his natural right or faculty to reason freely and to form his own judgment on any matters whatsoever, nor can he be compelled to do so’. Indeed, any effort by a sovereign to rule over the beliefs and opinions of citizens can only backfire, as it will ultimately serve to undermine the sovereign’s own authority. In a passage that is both obviously right and extraordinarily bold for its time, Spinoza writes:

a government that attempts to control men’s minds is regarded as tyrannical, and a sovereign is thought to wrong his subjects and infringe their right when he seeks to prescribe for every man what he should accept as true and reject as false, and what are the beliefs that will inspire him with devotion to God. All these are matters belonging to individual right, which no man can surrender even if he should so wish.

A sovereign can certainly try to limit what people think, but the result of such a vain and foolhardy policy would be to create only resentment and opposition to its rule. Still, the toleration of beliefs is one thing. The more difficult case concerns the liberty of citizens to express those beliefs, either in speech or in writing. And here Spinoza goes further than anyone else in the 17th century:
Utter failure will attend any attempt in a commonwealth to force men to speak only as prescribed by the sovereign despite their different and opposing opinions … The most tyrannical government will be one where the individual is denied the freedom to express and to communicate to others what he thinks, and a moderate government is one where this freedom is granted to every man.

Spinoza’s argument for freedom of expression is based both on the right (or power) of citizens to speak as they desire, as well as on the fact that (as in the case of belief) it would be counter-productive for a sovereign to try to restrain that freedom. No matter what laws are enacted against speech and other means of expression, citizens will continue to say what they believe, only now they will do so in secret. Any attempt to suppress freedom of expression will, once again, only weaken the bonds of loyalty that unite subjects to sovereign. In Spinoza’s view, intolerant laws lead ultimately to anger, revenge and sedition.
There is to be no criminalisation of ideas in the well-ordered state. The freedom of philosophising must be upheld for the sake of a healthy, secure and peaceful commonwealth, and material and intellectual progress. Spinoza understands that there will be some unpleasant consequences entailed by the broad respect for civil liberties. There will be public disputes, even factionalism, as citizens express their opposing views on political, social, moral and religious questions. However, this is what comes with a healthy, democratic and tolerant society.

‘The state can pursue no safer course than to regard piety and religion as consisting solely in the exercise of charity and just dealing, and that the right of the sovereign, both in religious and secular spheres, should be restricted to men’s actions, with everyone being allowed to think what he will and to say what he thinks’. This sentence, a wonderful statement of the modern principle of toleration, is perhaps the real lesson of the Treatise, and should be that for which Spinoza is best remembered.

When, in 2012, a member of the Portuguese-Jewish congregation in Amsterdam insisted that it was finally time for the community to consider revoking the herem on Spinoza, the ma’amad, or lay-leaders, of the community sought outside counsel for such a momentous decision. They convened a committee – myself, along with three other scholars – to answer various questions about the philosophical, historical, political, and religious circumstances of Spinoza’s ban. While they did not ask us to recommend any particular course of action, they did want our opinions on what might be the advantages and disadvantages to lifting the ban.

We submitted our reports, and more than a year passed without any news. Finally, in the summer of 2013, we received a letter informing us that the congregation’s rabbi had decided that the herem was not to be revoked. In his opinion, Spinoza was indeed a heretic. He added that while we can all appreciate freedom of expression in the civic domain, there is no reason to expect such freedom within the world of orthodox Judaism. Moreover, he asked rhetorically, are the leaders of the community today that much wiser and better informed about Spinoza’s case than the rabbis who punished him in the first place?

No doubt, Spinoza would have found the whole affair amusing. If asked whether he would like to be readmitted to ‘the people of Israel’, he would most likely have replied: ‘Do whatever you want. I couldn’t care less.’
by Steven Nadler
Steven Nadler is the William H Hay II Professor of Philosophy at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. His books include Spinoza: A Life (1999) and A Book Forged in Hell: Spinoza’s Scandalous Treatise and the Birth of the Secular Age (2011).
Source Aeon

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Staying


Staying

The power of place on literary minds

by Shawn Crawford on Flann O’Brien

Why do we stay? We lack the resources or the opportunities. We remain faithful to a place given to us through an accident of birth. We rage and complain but never wander very far, the reasons a cipher to ourselves. Even in America, a land of nomads and self-fashioning, most of us eventually find a place that is our Place, and feel compelled to return again and again. I continually meet people that define where they are merely in terms of where they left. We stay even in our absence.

The exodus of Irish writers from their country in the early 20th Century, most notably James Joyce and Samuel Beckett, would influence all of literature for the rest of the century. Before both could create, they would have to come to terms with an Irish culture that offered both a deluge of artistic tradition and a stifling insularity that threatened to eat every beautiful creature Irish writers produced. But they would become exiles in very different ways, although Beckett would work as Joyce’s literary secretary for a time, until he left to find his own identity and narrative path.and the Greatest Hair of Modern Literature

Joyce never left Dublin no matter how far he roamed. He occupied Dublin in his mind, obsessed over its topography, demanded to know of every change from friends, wrote of no place else his entire career. But Beckett would succeed by leaving in the most astonishing manner: not only would he leave Dublin in his work to inhabit a place that was Everywhere but Nowhere, he would leave English and begin writing exclusively in French. Moving to another language would give Beckett the order, discipline, and what he called the “impoverishment” needed to find his own voice and literature. He would create as close to the bone as possible and find the heart of modern human existence. And then he would put the work back together again in an English stripped of all flourishes.

While Beckett and Joyce would grow into titans of modern literature, another Irish writer would stay in Dublin, laboring to survive while producing a body of work both utterly brilliant and utterly unknown today except for a devoted cult following. That man was Flann O’Brien.

O’Brien, born Brian O’Nolan, did not flee Ireland as so many artists did in the years of Revolution and Independence. I will not begin to try and describe the desperate poverty and repressive culture the Irish lived under. Get yourself a copy of Angela’s Ashes. I once heard Bob Geldof, growing up in the tail end of those years, speak about his ferocious need to escape that world, a place he described as always cold and him always shivering, and head to London in his teens so he could make a life and music.

Although he was a brilliant student, mastered several languages, and could write anyone into the ground, O’Brien stayed in that trying world. We know little about O’Brien’s private life, but he seemed to stay to care for his eleven brothers and sisters; he seemed to stay because he thought it was his Ireland too; he stayed and became a sort of trickster and folk hero and sage all in one. He died young like Joyce, virtually unknown even to those that loved his writing because of the masks he had to wear to stay and survive.

Faced with caring for his family after the early death of his father, O’Brien chose to stay in the only profession that offered any hope of a certain income and a dependable pension: the Irish Civil Service. But the service required its employees to stay above politics and government disputes, so to pursue his writing Brian O’Nolan became Flann O’Brien and a host of other pseudonyms. He once carried on a literary feud with himself and a host of other Irish writers by sending countless letters under various names to the Irish Times, sometimes supporting his previous position and sometimes railing against it. The dispute proved so entertaining O’Brien would write a regular column under his other great pen name Myles na gCopaleen.

O’Brien lived his life speaking fluent Irish at home and English in public. He could think in Irish, unlike other writers who often just dallied with Gaelic, and it gave him an authority and voice beloved by both the local literary crowd and the barman reading Myles in the Irish Times. O’Brien refused to romanticize the Irish peasant the way so many expats and Yeats did; he knew the brutality of trying to survive and wrote a satiric novel about such mythologizing of Irish rural life called The Poor Mouth. Fittingly, it was composed in Irish and only translated into English years later.

In 1939 O’Brien’s masterpiece, At Swim-Two-Birds was published under the urging of the English author Graham Greene. Some critics will argue the book not published during O’Briens’s life, The Third Policeman, should receive the greater praise, but those critics are ninnies and should be slapped about the face and shoulders with the NYRB.

Let us go then, you and I, and ponder At Swim-Two-Birds. To wit, a student in Dublin embarks upon a novel about a man named Trellis, himself an author of Westerns set in Dublin. The characters in the novel live a rich and full life outside the book while the author sleeps and begin to plot how to do away with him for good. In between there occur digressions, a sub-plot with Irish heroes such as Finn MacCool, Mad Sweeny, and my personal favorite, the Pooka MacPhellimey, who likes to argue luck, philosophy, kangaroos and the importance of numbers because “evil is even, truth is an odd number, and death is a full stop.” If you are confused, just remember that for your sake I am leaving out a many other good bits for clarity.

O’Brien inhales all of Irish folklore and the conventions of the modern novel, rearranges them, satirizes them, exaggerates them, out-styles their style, and says, “Top that.” And to my mind no one ever has. Once you read At Swim-Two-Birds you realize how a movie like Being John Malkovich owes everything to it without surpassing its brilliance. The ability to point out and disassemble what you are doing at every turn while simultaneously entertaining the audience watching the performance has been the great enterprise of postmodern art. That for the most part these efforts just turn into a lot of winking and nudging and boredom testifies to the genius of O’Brien. Producing mediocrity and then justifying the mediocrity by proclaiming our self-knowledge of said mediocrity (Get it? Get it! I know it sucks, too. Hilarious. Now let’s make a sequel) is still just mediocrity.

Enjoy O’Brien in his own habitat. At one point in the novel we are notified by a press release that Trellis has managed to deliver a full-grown man without aid of conception through a process called Aestho-autogamy. Trellis gives credit for his success to Mr. William Tracy, a fellow writer of Westerns. Mr. Tracy felt many problems could be solved “if issue could be born already matured, teethed, reared, educated, and ready to essay those competitive plums which make the Civil Service and the Banks so attractive to younger breadwinners of today.” The article ends by informing us that

Mr. Tracy succeed, after six disconcerting miscarriages, in having his own wife delivered of a middle-aged Spainard who lived for only six weeks. A man who carried jealousy to the point of farce, the novelist insisted that his wife and the new arrival should occupy separate beds and use the bathroom at divergent times. Some amusement was elicited in literary circles by the predicament of a woman who was delivered of a son old enough to be her father but it served to deflect Mr. Tracy not one tittle from his dispassionate quest for scientific truth.

Despite his many guises, the true identity of O’Brien and gCopaleen was known to most of his Dublin admirers. Eventually his scathing wit, especially about Irish politics and government, would lead to his forced retirement from civil service. O’Brien would continue writing on a host of subjects and in many genres, including script work for radio and television (he once wrote a ballet for radio), until his early death, on April Fool’s Day, in 1966, at age 55.

In 1954, to commemorate the 50th anniversary of the events in Joyce’s Ulysses, O’Brien and his friend John Ryan embarked upon the first Bloomsday celebration. You heard me right; O’Brien helped invent Bloomsday. The crew consisted of O’Brien, Ryan, the poet Patrick Kavanagh, Anthony Cronin, AJ Leventhal, and Joyce’s cousin Tom Joyce. Horse drawn cabs ferried the men about the city, retracing the path of the book. Each man played roles from the novel, and in suitable fashion the project had to be abandoned halfway through at the Bailey pub, owned by Ryan, due to drunkenness and general mayhem. Only an Irishman could manage to be thrown from his own premises. This fact alone makes O’Brien a constellation in the Irish firmament.

The romantic in me wants to see O’Brien as a great hero, the man that stayed and attended his responsibilities and remains in relative obscurity for his efforts, ending his short life as an angry and somewhat broken alcoholic. I think about O’Brien when I see a yammering head ensconced in a New York studio claim to know what life is like here in the heartland, in the Oklahoma, as parochial and impenetrable as O’Brien’s Dublin, where I have chosen to stay. He doesn’t even speak our language, understands nothing of our daily existence, our joys and sorrows and above all fear, a fear that seems bent on consuming everything I love in the here here.

Perhaps all artists are exiles. All of them give up Life in some way to create beauty and truth for us, not because we deserve it, but because they cannot exist without such toil. You cannot gaze upon their creations without wanting to weep for their sacrifice and rejoice for what they have wrought.

Tuesday, October 16, 2018

Sen. Mitch McConnell calls deficit ‘very disturbing


Sen. Mitch McConnell calls deficit ‘very disturbing,’ blames federal spending, dismisses criticism of tax cut

Damian Paletta Washington Post

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell on Tuesday called the ballooning budget deficit “very disturbing” but said large federal spending programs were to blame, dismissing criticism that last year’s GOP tax cuts are saddling the country with more debt.


McConnell, in a Bloomberg News interview, also said there was little chance Republicans would be able to cut government spending next year if they retained control of Congress because any changes would need leadership from Democrats.

McConnell (R-Ky.) said that tackling the mandatory spending programs such as Medicare and Social Security, as well as Medicaid, could not be done by Republicans alone, suggesting that it was unlikely to occur unless Democrats controlled at least one chamber of Congress.

McConnell’s comments come as part of a fierce effort by Republicans and Democrats to reframe economic issues as they campaign ahead of midterm elections, which are in three weeks. Democrats have blamed last year’s GOP tax cut law for adding a projected $2 trillion to the debt over 10 years, while Republicans have castigated liberals for proposing an expansion of government health care programs.

But Republicans have abandoned numerous budget demands they put in place during the Obama administration, including an insistence that any new spending be offset by other cuts. They have also repeatedly raised the debt ceiling without seeking any budget changes and waived rules put in place to prevent an increase in the debt.

McConnell said that tackling the mandatory spending programs such as Medicare and Social Security, as well as Medicaid, could not be done by Republicans alone, suggesting that it was unlikely to occur unless Democrats controlled at least one chamber of Congress.

“I think it’s pretty safe to say that entitlement changes, which is the real driver of the debt by any objective standard, may well be difficult if not impossible to achieve when you have unified government,” McConnell told Bloomberg News.

McConnell’s comments came one day after the White House reported that the government ran a deficit of $779 billion in the fiscal year that ended Sept. 30, a 17 percent increase from the year before. The deficit is expected to near $1 trillion next year and then surpass that level in 2020 and beyond, according to the Congressional Budget Office.

Higher spending and stagnating tax revenue pushed the nation’s debt burden higher, the White House said. Business tax revenue fell sharply in the first nine months of this year because tax rates were cut under last year’s law.

Republican leaders, and White House officials, had promised that all of the lost revenue from the tax cut would be recouped from higher economic growth, though many budget experts from both parties believe this is unlikely.

“As November approaches, it’s clear Democrats stand for expanding affordable health care and growing the middle class, while Republicans are for stripping away protections for people with pre-existing conditions and cutting Medicare, Social Security, and Medicaid to fund their giveaways to corporate executives and the wealthiest few,” Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer said after McConnell’s comments were published.

The economy is growing at a faster clip this year, but analysts believe it will soon begin to slow, in part because of higher interest rates, growing debt, and lower corporate earnings.

It is very unusual for the deficit to grow during a strong economy, as economic growth tends to bring in more revenue and lead to a drop in spending on things like low-income assistance.

But the White House and GOP leaders have pursued policies that increase spending and cut tax rates in the past 18 months, as Trump has said he is trying to rev the economy to encourage more growth. The tax cuts alone were projected to add $100 billion to the deficit this year, though some White House officials have dismissed those estimates.

Democrats warned during the tax cut debate that Republicans would widen the deficit through tax reductions and then seek to recoup the losses by cutting programs such as Medicaid, a health care program for poor and low-income families, and they seized on McConnell’s comments on Tuesday.

“Like clockwork, Republicans in Congress are setting in motion their plan to destroy the Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security that seniors and families rely on, just months after they exploded the deficit by $2 trillion with their tax scam for the rich,” House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) said in a statement.

The government is projected to spend $4.47 trillion this fiscal year, according to CBO, and bring in just $3.49 trillion in revenue. The government will cover that $981 billion gap, known as the deficit, by borrowing money through issuing new debt.

There are a range of buyers of the debt, including China, but the cost of borrowing money rises as interest rates increase. The government is projected to spend $390 billion on debt interest payments, almost as much as the $401 billion it will spend on Medicaid.

For the first time in U.S. history, the government will spend more than $1 trillion on Social Security benefits this year, and another $776 billion on Medicare, which is a health-care program for older Americans.

Combined, Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid will account for 49.7 percent of all government spending this year, according to CBO, down from 50.6 percent in 2017. Defense spending, meanwhile, will account for 15 percent of spending this year, up from 14.8 percent in 2017.

Republicans spent most of the Obama administration complaining about increases in government spending, but they have largely backed down during the Trump administration, supporting his proposals to raise spending and cut taxes as part of his agenda.

Speaker of the House Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) emerged as a leader of the Republican Party in recent years because of his insistence that the government do more to cut spending, and White House budget director Mick Mulvaney earned credibility with conservatives by taking a hard-line stance on debt when he was in Congress.

But neither Ryan nor Mulvaney have been able to advance major initiatives to cut spending since Trump took office, and Mulvaney has said Trump has rebuffed proposals to address programs like Medicare.

The U.S. government has more than $21 trillion in debt by some measures, and the aging population, combined with rising health-care costs and large debt interest payments, are projected to make the debt grow even faster in the near future.

McConnell blamed the recent run-up in the deficit on Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security, but there haven’t been policy changes in those programs to explain the major run-up in the debt in the past two years.

The bigger changes have instead been bipartisan agreements to remove spending caps on things such as the military, and last year’s tax cut.

White House National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said in New York last month that the White House planned to try to address high levels of government spending next year, but he wouldn’t offer more details.

“I don’t want to be specific, I don’t want to get ahead of our own budgeting, but we’ll get there,” Kudlow said at the Economic Club of New York. “But I agree, we have to be tougher on spending.”

During the 2016 campaign, Trump vowed not to cut Medicare, Social Security or Medicaid if he became president. He has largely stuck to his promise not to cut Medicare, but he has proposed Medicaid cuts, and his advisers have also sought to make cuts in Social Security disability spending.


These proposals have largely fallen flat in Congress, however, as the White House didn’t signal that it planned to make any changes a priority, and lawmakers are often reluctant to take on divisive political issues without presidential leadership.

Monday, October 08, 2018

A Woman Can Never Be Likable Enough



A Woman Can Never Be Likable Enough

Katha Pollitt at The Nation writes—From an early age, we’re taught to please men. What if we got angry instead?

I really thought we had come farther. Even Barbie says it: Girls can do anything. After all, we now hold the majority of bachelors’ degrees, occupy half the seats in medical schools and law schools, run businesses and universities, and sit in Congress. There are even three of us on the Supreme Court. But if you ask why men still run the world, the answer you’ll get back isn’t sexual harassment, male violence, or discrimination—the mere mention of which is deeply unfair, to men. The explanation instead is still some variation of the one Lisa Belkin gave in The New York Times Magazine in 2003, when she profiled a bunch of Yale alumnae who had given up their big-time jobs to become stay-at-home wives: because we don’t want to. We’d rather be moms and have work-life balance and do yoga and make cookies. Remember how outraged people pretended to be when Hillary Clinton said she would rather practice her profession, which was law, than bake cookies? Those damn cookies. It’s not the baking that matters, it’s that you feel you have to do it: to be a good woman, to prove that even if you’re a brain surgeon you’re still just a mom at heart


These are the rules of The Patriarchy that the #MeToo movement has exposed: the education, extracurriculars, service projects, credentials—they were never what being a girl was all about. Being a girl is about pleasing men: What they think of you and want from you and how you negotiate that in a world that does not want to hear about the darker side of what that can mean. You can be a world-class athlete, like those Olympic gymnasts, and still be molested by your doctor—and nothing will be done about it for years. You can be fantastically talented and lose your career if you don’t play along with Harvey Weinstein or Les Moonves. You can get a unionized factory job with decent pay and still be groped and insulted by both your boss and your fellow workers. You can get straight As and a great job and still feel you have to give your date a blow job because he expects it, and it just seems simpler that way—and maybe safer, too. You wouldn’t want him to think you were a tease or a bitch. Because from the moment you were born, you were told in a thousand ways that men liking you was the real measure of your value in the world. And without even realizing you were doing it, you learned to make yourself likable. To attract men, to disarm them, to manage them, to comfort them.

This for me is the meaning of the Senate Judiciary Committee testimony by Dr. Christine Blasey Ford. Whatever else a woman is—a PhD, a mother, a victim of a sex crime—the most important thing is that she be likable: attractive, relatable, unthreatening, nice. And Dr. Ford was so nice! Pretty—but not too pretty—educated, upper middle class, white, with glasses and a husband and kids and a house. She was just emotional enough—not detached, not “hysterical”—to conform to expectations about what a woman should look like when she tells the truth about being assaulted. She tried so hard to put those old reptiles on the committee at ease: joking in a self-deprecating way about her craving for caffeine, explaining the brain science behind her memories, as if they were all in the classroom together trying to figure out why a woman might remember that the two men assaulting her had laughed, but not remember how she got home that day.

Imagine if Dr. Ford were poor or fat or a woman of color. Imagine if she had had a rough divorce followed by numerous boyfriends. Imagine if she had written an article in Elle about her sexual fantasies, or her addiction to prescription meds, or her abortion. Others have said this, but it’s worth repeating that if Dr. Ford had behaved like Judge Brett Kavanaugh, she would have been dismissed as a liar and a crazy lady. Imagine if she had talked about how much she liked beer some 30 times. Imagine if she had displayed anger, hostility, arrogance, boasted about having gone to Yale, cried self-pitying tears, and thrown questions back in the senators’ faces, asking them if they ever had blackouts. Imagine if her high-school yearbook page were full of sexual slang and drinking innuendoes obvious to anyone who had ever been a teenager, and she had explained them away with obvious falsehoods. We would have said, well, that is exactly the kind of girl who was asking for it then and is lying now. [...]

Machiavelli Would Have Loved This Year’s Midterms



Machiavelli Would Have Loved This Year’s Midterms

Trump may not be on the ballot, but he will be on everyone’s mind.


By Thomas B. Edsall NY Times


The stakes — already sky-high — for both the Trump administration and the Democratic Party in the coming congressional elections have been raised even higher by the struggle over the Supreme Court nomination of Brett Kavanaugh.

Not only will the outcome be interpreted as a renunciation or vindication of the Trump presidency, it will also determine whether Democrats have recouped since the 2016 disaster and where the balance of power within the Republican Party lies.

Should the House change hands (a likely prospect) and possibly the Senate (much less likely), President Trump’s exposure on two potentially inflammatory subjects will be exponentially greater. Congressional hearings and investigations will display to the public the tangled web of Trump’s financial, real estate and tax dealings, and his relationships with, and payoffs to, women with whom he allegedly had extramarital affairs.

And that’s just the tip of the iceberg.

The November election will also determine whether the regulatory decisions of executive branch agencies, especially the Department of Education and the Environmental Protection Agency, are subject to critical review.

Democrats on the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform are already armed with 64 subpoena requests on subjects running from Russian election interference to foreign payments to the Trump organization to charges that the departments of Homeland Security and Health and Human Services withheld documents on the Trump administration’s child separation policy.

If Elijah Cummings of Baltimore, the ranking Democrat on the Oversight Committee, becomes chairman, he will no longer make requests to hold committee hearings and write letters asking for subpoenas. He will schedule hearings and issue subpoenas.

The determination of Democrats on the House Ways and Means Committee to take on Trump and demand that the Treasury Department turn over his tax filings will be reinforced by the disclosure of a long history of Trump family tax evasion in The Times this week.

As long ago as Feb. 28, Bill Pascrell, Democrat of New Jersey and a member of the Ways and Means Committee, issued a statement asking,

What financial ties exist between Trump and Russian oligarchs? Is the Trump family susceptible to bribery or blackmail? What are Trump’s conflicts of interest as he offers new proposals on taxes and foreign policy? The American people deserve answers and Congress must follow the money. No longer can congressional Republicans reject transparency in order to politically protect the president.

To date, Trump and his cabinet appointees have been able to operate without fear of review or oversight by a compliant Republican House and Republican Senate.

Democrats have vowed that this will end if they win a majority in either branch. Democrats “will not shy away from standing up to President Trump and conducting oversight,” Steny Hoyer of Maryland, the Democratic House whip, told CNBC in August.

Control of the House committees would empower the Democrats to focus public attention on both cabinet-level scandals and unpopular administration decisions that have been displaced from front-page coverage and evening newscasts by Trump’s incessant controversies.

Take the House Natural Resources Committee. Democrats on the committee recently warned the administration and committee Republicans of what they will do if in the majority. “The Republican majority on the House Natural Resources Committee has spent the last 18 months wasting taxpayer time and money,” the Democrats declared. Republicans “have managed to ignore almost every important environmental issue we face.

Committee Democrats plan to put a spotlight on one cabinet member who has largely, though not completely, avoided the spotlight:

The Republican majority has ignored the fact that Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke is the most ethically challenged member of the Trump administration — they haven’t held any oversight hearings on his tenure, which has featured more than a dozen formal investigations by the DOI inspector general, the Office of Special Counsel and other watchdog agencies.

House Education and Workforce Committee Democrats have a long list of challenges to policies adopted by Betsy DeVos, the secretary of education, including her decision this summer to abandon an Obama-era regulation requiring for-profit colleges to prove that students get adequately paying jobs after graduation.

In a Sept. 18 letter, Bobby Scott of Virginia, the ranking education committee Democrat, challenged DeVos’s decision to weaken regulation of “predatory” practices at for-profit colleges “pedaling high-cost, low-quality degrees and credentials.”

In a paper delivered at the 2018 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association in Boston, Gary Jacobson, emeritus professor of political science at the University of California-San Diego, declared:

Long-term political trends and the public’s reaction to Donald Trump’s surreal presidency are converging to make the 2018 midterm elections the most sweeping and divisive national referendum on any administration at least since the Great Depression.

Of the political analysts I contacted, Jacobson was the most emphatic in his view that the coming election is of momentous significance.

In an email he said, Voters will decide between two starkly different futures — that envisioned by Trump and his white nationalist and religious conservative allies and another that is best typified by Obama’s legislative and regulatory legacy.

In the paper he gave in Boston, Jacobson wrote:

If the Democrats win control of the House, it will be read, accurately, as a clear repudiation of Trump’s presidency, for they can only do so by winning a large enough majority of votes cast nationwide to overcome the Republicans’ formidable structural advantage. It will put Democrats in a position to challenge, check, and investigate the Trump administration for at least the next two years, precipitating disputes between Congress and the White House at least as fierce as during the Obama presidency after 2010.

Conversely, if Republicans retain their majorities, it will, in Jacobson’s view, “confirm once and for all that the Republican Party is now Trump’s party” and congressional Republicans “will continue to ignore, downplay, or excuse behavior that by a Democratic president would provoke torrents of outrage and demands for impeachment.”

Trump in fact agrees with Jacobson on the significance of the election.

At a rally Saturday evening in Wheeling, W.Va, the president declared:

A lot of what we’ve done, some people could say, all of what we’ve done, is at stake in November. Always fragile. We are just five weeks away from one of the most important congressional elections in our lifetimes. This is one of the big, big — in other words, that’s true, I’m not running but I’m really running.

And what about “this horrible, horrible radical group of Democrats?” They “are determined,” Trump continued,
to take back power by using any means necessary. You see the meanness, the nastiness, they don’t care who they hurt, who they have to run over in order to get power and control. That’s what they want is power and control, we’re not going to give it to them.

On Wednesday night, Trump, after mocking Blasey Ford at a rally in Mississippi on Tuesday, doubled down on the idea that the Kavanaugh nomination was a political winner:

Wow, such enthusiasm and energy for Judge Brett Kavanaugh. Look at the Energy, look at the Polls. Something very big is happening. He is a fine man and great intellect. The country is with him all the way!

There are some intriguing twists.

Frances Lee, a political scientist at the University of Maryland, argues that from a political rather than policymaking point of view,
2018 is more important than any election since 1994, when Republicans finally ended the seemingly permanent Democratic majority and ushered in a new era of two-party competition for control of Congress.

Lee notes that “Trump frames the 2018 elections to a truly remarkable extent,” not only as the bête noire of the Democratic Party but as the overwhelmingly dominant force within the Republican Party.

This phenomenon, she writes, became evident in the 2018 Republican primaries, which “featured contests between candidates competing among themselves as to who could be most loyal to the president, with Trump’s endorsement deciding the outcome in a number of cases.”
Lee points out that because of Trump’s centrality and his role in

redefining the Republican Party around questions of ethno-nationalism, if Republicans retain control of Congress, even by a narrow margin, it will be an enormous vindication for the president and will further cement his recasting of the Republican Party around issues of national identity.

Lee makes the case that Whether Republicans win or lose in 2018, Trump is likely to gain a firmer grip on the Republican Party after 2018 than he currently has. Never-Trump Republicans have had to either renounce their former apostasy or retire from office. And to the extent that the party loses seats, those losses will heavily come from the party’s moderate wing, leaving behind a more pro-Trump Republican Party in Congress.

Lee is on target as far as Republicans in Congress go, but Trump’s status in the party at large, in the event Republicans lose control of the House, Senate or both, is less certain.
If the outcome of the 2018 election amounts to a rejection of Trump, it will open the door to those hungry to challenge him in the 2020 Republican primaries, including — but by no means limited to — John Kasich, the governor of Ohio.

David Robertson, a professor of political science at the University of Missouri-St. Louis, observed in an email that a Republican loss of the House “would reduce Republican control over taxes, spending, trade, and a host of potential policies of interest to the Republican coalition of business and religious conservatives,” and would also
diminish the president’s influence with some Republicans inside and outside of Congress, and stoke interest in a primary challenge in 2020. Finally, Republican donors will question the return on continued investment in President Trump and his re-election.

Like Lee, Leonie Huddy, a political scientist at SUNY-Stony Brook, sees a parallel between 1994 and 2018. She pointed out in an email that.

Congressional acrimony directed at a president of the other party in 1994 will be even worse in 2019 if Democrats win the House. Trump is more unpopular among Democrats in 2018 than Clinton was among Republicans in 1994.

Huddy described a likely agenda for Democrats once in control of the House:

Step 1 is likely to be a subpoena for Trump’s tax returns. But there is a slew of other financial issues that could generate investigations and hearings, including whether proceeds from the Trump D.C. hotel violate the emoluments clause of the constitution, and more generally whether the Trump family is profiting in various ways from the presidency. Trump’s personal life is another likely topic of investigation. Trump has been accused of sexual misconduct by multiple women. These accusations are also likely to generate hearings and investigations.

David Bateman, a political scientist at Cornell, agreed with many of his colleagues that a “Republican victory will be interpreted as a validation of its more aggressively ethnonationalist wing,” and that “a defeat will be interpreted as a setback for them and for Trump.”
Still, Bateman, voiced caution.

I don’t see the midterm elections arresting the progress of an otherwise successful political program or overthrowing the ascendant faction of the Republican Party or even throwing the party into disarray — I expect they will quickly regroup, with a more coherent and right-wing caucus and without the burdens of making choices that come with being the majority party.

A Democratic victory, Bateman continued,

will impose some new constraints on Trump, but probably not enough to render him a spent force unwilling to run again (or unable to win) in 2020, let alone disarming his more dangerous tendencies over the next two years.

Many of the most vulnerable Republicans are part of the more moderate wing of the party, as are many of those retiring. As they depart, Bateman notes, the hard right becomes more powerful within the congressional wing:

White Christian nationalism has long been an important part of the coalition, and not only is it not going anywhere but the party’s losses will probably make it more rather than less well-represented in the party.

While Bateman argues that the Trump wing will be fortified within the Republican Party regardless of the outcome in November, Stephen Ansolabehere, a political scientist at Harvard, argues that the future of the party’s Trump wing hinges on the election.

“For the Republicans, it’s a fight over the definition of and power within the party,” Ansolabehere wrote in an email. If Republicans retain control of the House, “it will be taken as an affirmation of the Trump G.O.P. agenda. Trump’s wing within the G.O.P. will be further strengthened.”

Conversely, if Democrats win the House, Ansolabehere expects them to inflict “death by 1000 cuts” on the Trump administration:

I would look for a lot of oversight hearings to be conducted, dragging every department secretary into office to be accountable for what they have done over the past two years. Especially the Environmental Protection Agency.
The 2018 election, Ansolabehere noted, “feels like a test of whether Democrats are really competitive with the Republicans or if 2006 and 2008 are just exceptions.”

While Trump’s name is not on the ballot this year, there is no question that his presidency is driving the election. In a September survey, 66 percent of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters told Pew that their midterm congressional vote would represent a vote against Trump, and 48 percent of Republican and Republican-leaning voters said their vote would be a vote for Trump.

Trump has thrived in a political climate best described as tribal warfare. As Shanto Iyengar and Masha Krupenki, both political scientists at Stanford, explained earlier this year:
While partisan animus began to rise in the 1980s, it has grown dramatically over the past two decades. As partisan affect has intensified, it is also more structured; in-group favoritism is increasingly associated with out-group animus. Finally, hostility toward the opposing party has eclipsed positive affect for one’s own party as a motive for political participation.

The conflict between Kavanaugh and his accuser, Christine Blasey Ford, has sharply exacerbated polarization and made the midterms more unpredictable. Democrats continue to hold a lead over Republicans in polls of generic voting, but that lead dropped in the two most recent surveys, according to compilations by RealClearPolitics. The website shows a drop of 2.5 percentage points in the generic ballot test, which has fallen from an 8-point edge in the previous four surveys conducted in late September to a 5.5-point edge in the two surveys conducted in early October.

To complicate things further, the fight over Kavanaugh may have different consequences in the fight for control of the House and the Senate.

On Sept. 26, Pew reported a gigantic 26-point gender gap in congressional voting intentions — men saying they plan to vote for Republican candidates 48-45, and women saying they will vote for Democrats 58-35. Democrats in the House are geared up to capitalize on the broadening disparity in the political preferences of men and women. They have fielded strong female candidates in many suburban districts where well-educated women will be an important counterforce to the many men enraged by what they see as the Democrats’ unconscionable treatment of Kavanaugh.

In the Senate races, however, the Kavanaugh nomination poses problems for Democrats, especially those running in red states — Jon Tester, Claire McCaskill, Bill Nelson and Joe Donnelly — who have declared their opposition to Kavanaugh, despite strong support for the Supreme Court nominee among conservative voters.

At the same time, newly reported evidence suggests that Trump should worry about his domination of the Republican Party and that his hold on the party is less secure than his favorability ratings among Republicans suggest.

On Monday, the Chicago Council on Global affairs released a survey that was subsequently analyzed by Dina Smeltz, a senior fellow at the Council, at the Washington Post’s Monkey Cage site.

Smeltz found that Republican respondents fell into two categories: “Trump Republicans” who hold very favorable views of the president and make up 55 percent of Republican voters and “Non-Trump Republicans,” whose view of Trump is “only a somewhat favorable or unfavorable.” They make up 44 percent of Republican voters and differ sharply with Trump Republicans on key issues.

For example, pro-Trump Republicans oppose NAFTA 68-30, while non-Trump Republicans support the agreement 61-34. In the case of the Paris climate accords, 59 percent of non-Trump Republicans said the United States should participate versus 34 percent of Trump Republicans.

In an expansive question on a goal of foreign policy, the Chicago Council asked if “it is more important to be admired than feared.” A solid 71 percent of non-Trump Republicans picked admired over feared, while 58 percent of Trump Republicans said it is more important to be feared.

This recalls the famous Machiavelli passage from which the Chicago Council’s question is adapted — which will, in a sense, also be on the ballot in November:

whether it is better to be loved more than feared, or feared more than loved. The reply is that one ought to be both feared and loved, but as it is difficult for the two to go together, it is much safer to be feared than loved, if one of the two has to be wanting. For it may be said of men in general that they are ungrateful, voluble dissemblers, anxious to avoid danger, and covetous of gain; as long as you benefit them, they are entirely yours; they offer you their blood, their goods, their life, and their children, as I have before said, when the necessity is remote; but when it approaches, they revolt. And the prince who has relied solely on their words, without making other preparations, is ruined, for the friendship which is gained by purchase and not through grandeur and nobility of spirit is merited but is not secured, and at times is not to be had. And men have less scruple in offending one who makes himself loved than one who makes himself feared; for love is held by a chain of obligation which, men being selfish, is broken whenever it serves their purpose; but fear is maintained by a dread of punishment which never fails.

I invite you to follow me on Twitter, @Edsall.